pablobarbera/twitter_ideology

Installing the tweetscores package

The following code will install the tweetscores package, as well as all other R packages necessary for the functions to run.

toInstall <- c("ggplot2", "scales", "R2WinBUGS", "devtools", "yaml", "httr", "RJSONIO")
install.packages(toInstall, repos = "http://cran.r-project.org")
library(devtools)
install_github("pablobarbera/twitter_ideology/pkg/tweetscores")

Estimating the ideological positions of a US Twitter user

We can now go ahead and estimate ideology for any Twitter users in the US. In order to do so, the package includes pre-estimated ideology for political accounts and media outlets, so here we’re just replicating the second stage in the method – that is, estimating a user’s ideology based on the accounts they follow.

# load package
library(tweetscores)

# downloading friends of a user
user <- "p_barbera"
friends <- getFriends(screen_name=user, oauth="~/Dropbox/credentials/twitter")

## /Users/pablobarbera/Dropbox/credentials/twitter/oauth_token_32 
## 15  API calls left
## 1065 friends. Next cursor:  0 
## 14  API calls left

# estimate ideology with MCMC method
results <- estimateIdeology(user, friends)

## p_barbera follows 11 elites: nytimes maddow caitlindewey carr2n fivethirtyeight 
NickKristof nytgraphics nytimesbits NYTimeskrugman nytlabs thecaucus
## Chain 1
  |=================================================================| 100%
## Chain 2
  |=================================================================| 100%

Once we have this set of estimates, we can analyze them with a series of built-in functions.

# summarizing results
summary(results)

##        mean   sd  2.5%   25%   50%   75% 97.5% Rhat n.eff
## beta  -2.30 0.57 -3.37 -2.72 -2.25 -1.92 -1.26 1.02   200
## theta -1.78 0.30 -2.28 -1.99 -1.82 -1.59 -1.11 1.00   200

# assessing chain convergence using a trace plot
tracePlot(results, "theta")

# comparing with other ideology estimates
plot(results)

Faster ideology estimation

The previous function relies on a Metropolis-Hastings sampling algorithm to estimate ideology. However, we can also use Maximum Likelihood estimation to compute the distribution of the latent parameters. This method is much faster, since it’s not sampling from the posterior distribution of the parameters, but it will tend to give smaller standard errors. However, overall the results should be almost identical. (See here for the actual estimation functions for each of these two approaches.)

# faster estimation using maximum likelihood
results <- estimateIdeology(user, friends, method="MLE")

## p_barbera follows 11 elites: nytimes maddow caitlindewey carr2n fivethirtyeight 
NickKristof nytgraphics nytimesbits NYTimeskrugman nytlabs thecaucus

summary(results)

##        mean   sd  2.5%   25%   50%   75% 97.5% Rhat n.eff
## beta  -2.30 0.57 -3.37 -2.72 -2.25 -1.92 -1.26 1.02   200
## theta -1.78 0.30 -2.28 -1.99 -1.82 -1.59 -1.11 1.00   200

Estimation using correspondence analysis

One limitation of the previous method is that users need to follow at least one political account. To partially overcome this problem, in a recently published article in Psychological Science, we add a third stage to the model where we add additional accounts (not necessarily political) followed predominantely by liberal or by conservative users, under the assumption that if other users also follow this same set of accounts, they are also likely to be liberal or conservative. To reduce computational costs, we rely on correspondence analysis to project all users onto the latent ideological space (see Supplementary Materials), and then we normalize all the estimates so that they follow a normal distribution with mean zero and standard deviation one. This package also includes a function that reproduces the last stage in the estimation, after all the additional accounts have been added:

# estimation using correspondence analysis
results <- estimateIdeology2(user, friends)

## p_barbera follows 22 elites: andersoncooper, billclinton, BreakingNews, 
## cnnbrk, davidaxelrod, Gawker, HillaryClinton, maddow, MaddowBlog, mashable, mattyglesias,
## NateSilver538, NickKristof, nytimes, NYTimeskrugman, repjoecrowley, RonanFarrow, 
## SCOTUSblog, StephenAtHome, TheDailyShow, TheEconomist, UniteBlue

results

## [1] -1.06158

Additional functions

The package also contains additional functions that I use in my research, which I’m providing here in case they are useful:

• scrapeCongressData is a scraper of the list of Twitter accounts for Members of the US congress from the unitedstates Github account.
• getUsersBatch scrapes user information for more than 100 Twitter users from Twitter’s REST API.
• getFollowers scrapes followers lists from Twitter’ REST API.
• getTimeline downloads up to 3,200 most recent tweets for any given Twitter user.
• CA is a modified version of the ca function in the ca package (available on CRAN) that computes simple correspondence analysis with a much lower memory usage.
• supplementaryColumns and supplementaryRows takes additional columns of a follower matrix and projects them to the latent ideological space using the parameters of an already-fitted correspondence analysis model.