Perceptions of Probability and Numbers

This Reddit post made the Longlist for the 2015 Kantar Information is Beautiful Awards: Link

This was last updated on 2017-08-25 (reddit thread) in order to:

1. Update the code for ggplot version 2.2.1
2. Add a couple of joyplots through the ggjoy package.

About

These are a couple of polls inspired by the Sherman Kent CIA study shown in the images below (discussion in this thread). I was super happy when they matched up.

The raw data came from /r/samplesize responses to the following question: What [probability/number] would you assign to the phrase "[phrase]"? I have the raw CSV data from the poll in this repository.

Gallery

Sherman-Kent Study:

/r/Samplesize Data:

With the new ggjoy package:

Information

• Tool: The data was compiled with R, and graphed in ggplot2.
• Source: This data was gathered using Reddit's /r/samplesize community.