microprediction/winning

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Jupyter Notebook
License
MIT License
Created about 4 years ago
Updated over 1 year ago

microprediction/winning

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Inference of relative ability from winning probabilities

timemachines

Predict time-series with one line of code.

microprediction

If you can measure it, consider it predicted

Jupyter Notebook

precise

World beating online covariance and portfolio construction.

humpday

Elo ratings for global black box derivative-free optimizers

timeseries-notebooks

Hello world univariate examples for a variety of time series packages.

Jupyter Notebook

m6

M6-Forecasting competition

Jupyter Notebook

optimizer-elo-ratings

Assigns Elo Ratings to Python Global Optimizers

timeseries-elo-ratings

Elo ratings for time-series forecasting packages

monteprediction_colab_examples

Monte Carlo Submission Examples

Jupyter Notebook

m6entry

microactors-causality

Examples of causality maps for time series driven by GitHub actions

Jupyter Notebook

muid

Memborable Unique Identifier

building_an_open_ai_network

momentum

Running mean, variance, skew, and kurtosis

embarrassingly

robust optimization

pandemic

A 2d contagion model with commuting modeled as regime switching Ornstein-Uhlenbeck walks on the plane

tuneup

Comparison of global optimization algorithms, including scipy, optuna, hyperopt, platypus, facebook-ax, pysot and others.

gptprobe

For unmanned missions into GPT returning structured data

offline

Demonstrates one pattern for offline estimation

firstdown

NFL first down strategy

Jupyter Notebook

microactors

Examples of scheduled jobs estimating copulas at www.microprediction.org

home

home page of sorts

microconventions

Conventions used at MicroPrediction.Org

midterms

timemachines-testing

Testing optimizers and time-series algorithms, and assigning them Elo ratings.

timeseries-data

static benchmarking timeseries data

Jupyter Notebook

monteprediction

Monte Prediction Utilities

schooled

Experiments in what NN's can learn, or not

csvsdataset

Dataset from multiple CSV files

diffracting

Diffracting probability

chattychattybangbang

Forcing ChatGPT to do its own QA, and other strategies.

curiouskids

questions for kids

rediz

Supporting community nowcasts at www.microprediction.org

barbell

Notes on the interpretation of a barbell bond portfolio

autotds

Automatically generates "Towards Data Science" quality articles

awesome-python-benchmarks

Benchmarking for python analytic packages

successor

Predicts the next number in a sequence, or next k

predictionserver

Development version of microprediction server (not working yet)

marketstacker

Financial market data in pandas using marketstack API

chess

Blitz and bullet chess ratings

realdata

Simple real time series data

diffraction

Diffracting probability

helicopter

Helicopter Julia Challenge

automl-notebooks

Quick and dirty first pass analysis

Jupyter Notebook

echochamber

Using an echo state network to enter a contest at microprediction.org

awesome-hype

Listing of repositories for independent benchmarking and debunking

getjson

Very limited mini-package for retrieving JSON data with backoff and failover

correlationbounds

Tiny utility for correlation bounds by brute force

Jupyter Notebook