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icews
Get the ICEWS event datastates
Create country-year/month/day panels consistent with the COW or Gleditsch & Ward independent states listsauc-pr
Code for precision-recall curvesacledr
Download and read the ACLED event datademocratic-spaces
Code and data for the Democratic Spaces forecasts and dashboardr-misc
Functions/stuff I might reuse between projectsspduration
Split-population duration model in Rjpr-forecasting-lessons
Replication code for "Lessons from near real-time forecasting of irregular leadership changes", Journal of Peace Researchmireg-blogs
Code for blog posts at MI Regression and Predictive Heuristicscondensebib
Rmarkdown + central bib file => local condensed bib fileforecaster2
Coup forecastsEBMAhelper
Regular S3 model fitting function and methods for EBMAforecastrap-ensemble-forecasting
Replication for R&P Ensemble Forecasting of Irregular Leadership Changeplumber.pack
Minimal example of a R package backing a plumber APIrpolecat
Download and work with the POLECAT event data.demspaces
Helper functions for the Demcratic Spaces project.Blair-Sambanis-replication
Replication of 'Forecasting Civil Wars: Theory and Structure in an Age of βBig Dataβ and Machine Learning' by Blair and Sambanis 2020icews-events
ICEWS events example querieswcshapes
WorldMaps_ITT
Maps of yearly ITT dataCode_IBC_Province
code province for IBC's Iraq event datacmps-itt
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